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Or How To Pick The Derby Winner

Leo Mitchell

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Published in A Guide To The Classics: Or How To Pick The Derby Winner (Amphora Press)

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The Derby is one of the most prestigious horse races in the world, and picking the winner can be a daunting task. But with a little research and analysis, you can give yourself a good chance of success.

A Guide to the Classics: Or How to Pick the Derby Winner (Amphora Press)

by Alexis Hall

5 out of 5

Language	:	English
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Print length	:	140 pages

Here are some tips on how to pick the Derby winner:

1. Study the form

The first step is to study the form of the horses in the race. This means looking at their past performances, their trainers, and their jockeys. You can find this information online or in the racing press.

When you're looking at a horse's form, pay attention to the following factors:

Class: The class of a race is a measure of how competitive it is. The higher the class, the better the horses. Derby winners typically come from high-class races.
Distance: The Derby is run over a distance of 1 mile and 4 furlongs. Horses that are proven over this distance are more likely to win.
Track: The Derby is run at Churchill Downs, a track that is known for its long straightaways and fast times. Horses that are comfortable running on this track are more likely to win.
Trainer: The trainer of a horse is responsible for its preparation and conditioning. Top trainers often have a good record in the Derby.
Jockey: The jockey of a horse is responsible for riding it during the race. Top jockeys often have a good record in the Derby.

2. Consider the pace

The pace of a race is determined by the speed at which the horses run. A fast pace can favor horses that are quick off the mark, while a slow pace can favor horses that are able to stay close to the leaders.

The pace of the Derby is typically moderate, which means that horses that are able to rate well are more likely to win.

3. Look for value

When you're betting on the Derby, it's important to look for value. This means finding horses that are priced at a higher price than they should be.

There are a number of factors that can affect the price of a horse, including its form, its trainer, and its jockey. By taking all of these factors into account, you can find horses that offer good value.

4. Don't be afraid to take a chance

The Derby is a wide-open race, and it's not uncommon for longshots to win. If you're feeling adventurous, don't be afraid to take a chance on a horse that you think has a good chance of winning.

Here are some of the horses that are expected to be popular picks in the 2023 Derby:

Horse	Trainer	Jockey	Odds
Epicenter	Steve Asmussen	Joel Rosario	5-1
Zandon	Chad Brown	Flavien Prat	6-1
Mo Donegal	Todd Pletcher	Irad Ortiz Jr.	8-1
White Abarrio	Saffie Joseph Jr.	Tyler Gaffalione	10-1
Tiz the Bomb	Kenny McPeek	Brian Hernandez Jr.	12-1

These are just a few of the horses that are expected to be popular picks in the 2023 Derby. With a little research and analysis, you can find a horse that you think has a good chance of winning.

Good luck!

A Guide to the Classics: Or How to Pick the Derby Winner (Amphora Press)

by Alexis Hall

5 out of 5